Taunton Townvs
Basingstoke Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taunton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Taunton Town 4-3 Basingstoke Town
Original prediction
Taunton Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.4% | 43.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 24.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.5% | 32.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Taunton Town
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Taunton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60