Tau Altopasciovs
Sasso Marconi Zola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone E · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tau Altopascio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tau Altopascio 2-1 Sasso Marconi Zola
Original prediction
Tau Altopascio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.4% | 41.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 27.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.6% | 30.5% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tau Altopascio
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Tau Altopascio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20