Tatran Prešovvs
Šamorín
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tatran Prešov 0-1 Šamorín
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.7% | 26.7% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 23.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.7% | 49.9% | 20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tatran PrešovWLWLW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ŠamorínWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tatran PrešovŠamorín
41.7Attack75.0
54.2Defence62.5
54.2Form87.5
53.1Power76.6
1.02xG1.91