Tatran Bohunicevs
Žďár nad Sázavou
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · 10/10/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tatran Bohunice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tatran Bohunice 1-0 Žďár nad Sázavou
Original prediction
Tatran Bohunice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.1% | 43.2% | -24.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 26.2% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 6.86 | 13.1% | 30.6% | 17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tatran Bohunice
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Tatran Bohunice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20