Tatabányavs
Sárisápi Bányász
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northwest · 8/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tatabánya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tatabánya 3-0 Sárisápi Bányász
Original prediction
Tatabánya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.0% | 57.1% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 16.9% | 21.9% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 8.06 | 11.1% | 21.0% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Tatabánya
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Tatabánya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40