Tatabányavs
Kecskeméti TE
COMPLETEDHungary · Magyar Kupa · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kecskeméti TE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tatabánya 4-5 Kecskeméti TE
Original prediction
Kecskeméti TE
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.49 | 13.7% | 38.5% | 24.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.3% | 22.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.0% | 38.6% | -27.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kecskeméti TE
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Kecskeméti TE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80