Tasmania Berlinvs
SV Babelsberg 03
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Babelsberg 03 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tasmania Berlin 6-0 SV Babelsberg 03
Original prediction
SV Babelsberg 03
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.2% | 22.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 20.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.5% | 56.9% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
SV Babelsberg 03
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
SV Babelsberg 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00