GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Greifswalder FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Tasmania Berlin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Greifswalder FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Greifswalder FC hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Greifswalder FC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Greifswalder FC

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

9.8%

Greifswalder FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tasmania BerlinWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Greifswalder FCDLWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tasmania BerlinGreifswalder FC
25.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence50.0
25.0Form58.3
21.1Power62.4
1.19xG2.44
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