GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/6/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tasmania Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tasmania Berlin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Anker Wismar are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tasmania Berlin hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Tasmania Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tasmania Berlin

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Tasmania Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tasmania BerlinDLWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Anker WismarLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Tasmania BerlinAnker Wismar
55.2Attack54.0
47.1Defence40.2
42.5Form42.5
48.2Power45.7
2.20xG1.60
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