Tarxien Rainbowsvs
Zebbug Rangers
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tarxien Rainbows · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Zebbug Rangers
Original prediction
Tarxien Rainbows
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.0% | 62.3% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.7% | 20.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 8.75 | 10.3% | 16.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Tarxien Rainbows
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Tarxien Rainbows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60