GGOALVIO

Malta · Challenge League · 9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tarxien Rainbows · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tarxien Rainbows 3-1 Attard

Original prediction

Tarxien Rainbows

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8748.0%46.9%-1.1 pts
Draw3.5225.5%25.7%0.2 pts
Away3.3926.5%27.3%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Tarxien Rainbows

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Tarxien Rainbows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tarxien RainbowsWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AttardDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tarxien RainbowsAttard
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
2.10xG1.26
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