
Tartu Welco
Home
Viimsi
AwayThe model projects 2.74 xG for Tartu Welco and 1.21 xG for Viimsi — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Tartu Welco holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Tartu Welco's Attack Score (100) exceeds Viimsi's Defensive Stability (14), and Viimsi's attack (54) similarly tests Tartu Welco's defence (46). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.95 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Tartu Welco's Attack Score (100) vs Viimsi's Defensive Stability (14) and Viimsi's attack (54) vs Tartu Welco's defence (46) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesProbability breakdown
Tartu Welco leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Tartu Welco Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1
Tartu Welco host Viimsi in Esiliiga A. Tartu Welco have recorded WWDWLL in recent matches while Viimsi arrive with a run of LDDLWW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Tartu Welco are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.74 projected against 1.21 for Viimsi. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.53 is the clearest signal in the model that Tartu Welco are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Tartu Welco's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Viimsi defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Tartu Welco fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠Tartu Welco have been conceding 1.99 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Head to head
Recent form
Tartu Welco
Viimsi
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
GoalVio's model predicts Tartu Welco to win with 60% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.