Tartu WelcovsTallinna Kalev

Tartu Welco are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.