Tartu WelcovsTallinna Kalev

Tartu Welco are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 3.67 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 100.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Cup, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.