Tartu WelcovsNõmme Kalju II

Tartu Welco are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.