Tartu Welcovs
Maardu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 3/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Tartu Welco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maardu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
81.6%
Model confidence
81.6%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80