GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Welco are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FCI Levadia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

69.0%

Model confidence

69.0%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoWWWWL

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FCI Levadia IILLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
97.0Attack65.2
54.5Defence42.4
68.2Form47.0
70.4Power52.0
3.67xG1.60
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