Esiliiga AEsiliiga A
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Tartu Welco

Tartu Welco

Home
WD
02
Full time
FC Tallinn

FC Tallinn

Away
W
Holm Jalgpallipark
GoalVio prediction
65% confidence
Tartu Welco(65%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Tartu Welco
65%
Draw
22%
FC Tallinn
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tartu Welco
100
FC Tallinn
99
Defence
Tartu Welco
46
FC Tallinn
6
Momentum
Tartu Welco
67
FC Tallinn
100
Danger (xG)
Tartu Welco
4.50
FC Tallinn
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Tartu Welco)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (FC Tallinn)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Tartu Welco)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (FC Tallinn)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
WDW
FC TallinnFC Tallinn
WL

Probability breakdown

65% confidence
Tartu Welco65%
Draw22%
FC Tallinn13%

Tartu Welco leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tartu Welco head into this in Esiliiga A fixture at Holm Jalgpallipark in mixed form (WD), while FC Tallinn arrive in mixed form (W). Tartu Welco have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Tallinn over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Tartu Welco (100/100) and FC Tallinn (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Tartu Welco have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. FC Tallinn have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Tartu Welco and FC Tallinn in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tartu Welco to win with 65% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Tartu Welco 6524%, Draw 2222%, FC Tallinn 1253%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Tartu Welco

Tartu Welco

W
@ Maardu
13 Jul 2026
81
D
vs Viimsi
2 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Nõmme United II
21 Jun 2026
52
FC Tallinn

FC Tallinn

W
vs Nõmme United II
4 Jul 2026
43
L
@ FCI Levadia II
21 Jun 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts Tartu Welco to win with 65% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more