GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 6/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tulevik are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tulevik hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.4% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

6.4%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWLWWD

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TulevikWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevTulevik
92.4Attack86.4
31.8Defence34.8
51.5Form54.5
55.4Power58.0
4.12xG3.49
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