GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

7.1%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWWWWW

GF 29 · GA 5 · avg 5.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna Kalev IIWLWLL

GF 12 · GA 17 · avg 2.40/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevTallinna Kalev II
92.4Attack68.2
31.8Defence13.6
51.5Form25.8
55.4Power36.1
4.50xG2.58
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