GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 4/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna Kalev IILLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevTallinna Kalev II
89.9Attack68.2
34.8Defence13.6
53.6Form25.8
56.5Power36.1
4.50xG2.45
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