Tartu Kalevvs
Pärnu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 3/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Tartu Kalev are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pärnu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60