Tartu Kalevvs
Narva U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tartu Kalev 0-1 Narva U21
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.1% | 33.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.6% | 18.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.3% | 48.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–36%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00