GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Narva U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

6.2%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevLLLWW

GF 18 · GA 18 · avg 3.60/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Narva U21WWLWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu KalevNarva U21
92.4Attack88.9
31.8Defence52.4
51.5Form65.1
55.4Power66.1
2.94xG3.68
View match centre →