GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/3/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Narva U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevDWLWL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Narva U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Tartu KalevNarva U21
89.9Attack86.4
34.8Defence54.5
53.6Form66.7
56.5Power66.7
2.73xG3.41
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