Tartu Kalevvs
Levadia U19
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tartu Kalev 0-2 Levadia U19
Original prediction
Tartu Kalev
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.9% | 40.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.1% | 20.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.0% | 39.1% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60