Tartu Kalevvs
Legion
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 4/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Tartu Kalev are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Legion are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 19.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
84.6%
Model confidence
9.8%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20