CupCup
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Tartu Kalev

Tartu Kalev

Home
D
70
Full time
Kuusalu Kalev

Kuusalu Kalev

Away
Tartu Ulikooli Spordihoone
GoalVio prediction
73% confidence
Tartu Kalev(73%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tartu Kalev
73%
Draw
17%
Kuusalu Kalev
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tartu Kalev)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Tartu Kalev)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tartu KalevTartu Kalev
D

Probability breakdown

73% confidence
Tartu Kalev73%
Draw17%
Kuusalu Kalev10%

Tartu Kalev leads with 73% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tartu Kalev head into this in Cup fixture at Tartu Ulikooli Spordihoone in mixed form (D), while Kuusalu Kalev arrive in unknown form.

Tartu Kalev have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Kuusalu Kalev have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Tartu Kalev and Kuusalu Kalev in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tartu Kalev to win with 73% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Tartu Kalev 7279%, Draw 1745%, Kuusalu Kalev 976%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tartu Kalev

Tartu Kalev

D
vs Luunja
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tartu Kalev vs Kuusalu Kalev?

GoalVio's model predicts Tartu Kalev to win with 73% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs Kuusalu Kalev?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tartu Kalev vs Kuusalu Kalev?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tartu Kalev vs Kuusalu Kalev?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more