GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kuressaare II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Kuressaare IIW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Tartu KalevKuressaare II
89.9Attack61.1
34.8Defence35.2
53.6Form50.9
56.5Power49.7
4.07xG2.30
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