Tartu Kalevvs
Kuressaare II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 3/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Tartu Kalev are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kuressaare II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00