Tartu Kalevvs
Johvi Phoenix
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johvi Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tartu Kalev 0-3 Johvi Phoenix
Original prediction
Johvi Phoenix
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.1% | 37.1% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.7% | 17.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.2% | 45.0% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–46%
Predicted outcome
Johvi Phoenix
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Johvi Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40