GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Tartu Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while JK Tabasalu are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

7.5%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu KalevWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
JK TabasaluLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu KalevJK Tabasalu
92.4Attack51.5
31.8Defence12.1
51.5Form40.9
55.4Power37.2
4.50xG1.97
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