TaroonavsUniversity of Tasmania

Taroona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.