Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Taroona are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while New Town are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 2.33/2.33
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00