Taroonavs
Hobart Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/4/2026, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Taroona are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taroona
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
7.4%
Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 24 · avg 2.40/4.80