Taroonavs
Hobart City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/21/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.0 against 61.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taroona
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
6.7%
Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 10 · avg 4.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80