GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/21/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.0 against 61.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

6.7%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TaroonaLWWWW

GF 22 · GA 10 · avg 4.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityDLWLD

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaHobart City
100.0Attack88.9
51.0Defence40.0
58.8Form57.8
63.0Power61.1
4.05xG2.58
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