Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tarazona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Antequera are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Antequera hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80