1. Division1. Division
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Taraz

Taraz

Home
DL
02
Full time
Shakhter Karagandy

Shakhter Karagandy

Away
WWW
Central Stadium
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Shakhter Karagandy(51%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Prediction correct— Result: Shakhter Karagandy
Win probability
Taraz
23%
Draw
27%
Shakhter Karagandy
51%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Taraz
34
Shakhter Karagandy
61
Defence
Taraz
14
Shakhter Karagandy
86
Momentum
Taraz
17
Shakhter Karagandy
100
Danger (xG)
Taraz
0.90
Shakhter Karagandy
1.50
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Taraz)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shakhter Karagandy)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Taraz)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Shakhter Karagandy)
0.30
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TarazTaraz
DLLW
Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy
WWWWW

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Taraz23%
Draw27%
Shakhter Karagandy51%

Shakhter Karagandy leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Taraz head into this in 1. Division fixture at Central Stadium in mixed form (DL), while Shakhter Karagandy arrive in strong form (WWW). Taraz have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Shakhter Karagandy over 3 games.

Tactically, Shakhter Karagandy hold the edge. Their strong attack (61/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Taraz defence (14/100), while Taraz's attack faces a watertight Shakhter Karagandy backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Taraz have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Shakhter Karagandy have been excellent on the road, winning all 3 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per away game.

Shakhter Karagandy have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Shakhter Karagandy to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-2. Win probabilities: Taraz 2271%, Draw 2661%, Shakhter Karagandy 5068%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Taraz 0Draws 01 Shakhter Karagandy
Avg goals: 2.0
26 Jun 2026
Taraz
L02
Shakhter Karagandy

Recent form

Taraz

Taraz

D
vs Aktobe Jas
16 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Sport Academy Kairat
3 Jul 2026
14
L
vs Shakhter Karagandy
26 Jun 2026
02
W
@ Turan Turkistan
14 May 2026
20
Shakhter Karagandy

Shakhter Karagandy

W
@ Ekibastuz
16 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Turan Turkistan
10 Jul 2026
10
W
@ Akademiya Ontustik
2 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Taraz
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Aktobe Jas
15 May 2026
70

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy?

GoalVio's model predicts Shakhter Karagandy to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more