Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Taraz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jaiyq are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.5 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80