Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Taraz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20