Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Taraz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Astana II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.5 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
12.2%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20