Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Taraz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Arys are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60