Tarazvs
Aktobe Jas
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/21/2023, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Taraz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aktobe Jas are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50