Tarancónvs
Socuéllamos
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tarancón · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tarancón 1-0 Socuéllamos
Original prediction
Tarancón
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.3% | 42.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 27.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.1% | 30.4% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Tarancón
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Tarancón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60