Tapatíovs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/28/2024, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80