Tapatíovs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/17/2025, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tapatío are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00