Tapatíovs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/1/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tapatío are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20