TapatíovsMineros de Zacatecas

Tapatío are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.