Tapatíovs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/8/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00