Tapatíovs
Leones Negros UDG
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/12/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00