TapatíovsCorrecaminos Uat

Tapatío are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.